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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Bochum
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
10%
70%
Points per game
0,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
70%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
2,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 18. · Union Berlin 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Bayern Munich 11 6 4 1 +24 22
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Mainz 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 RB Leipzig 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
11 Werder Bremen 11 4 3 4 +2 15
12 Augsburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
13 Wolfsburg 11 2 5 4 -6 11
14 Leverkusen 11 2 3 6 -7 9
15 Hertha 10 1 5 4 -3 8
16 Stuttgart 11 1 5 5 -7 8
17 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
18 Bochum 10 1 1 8 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Union Berlin
Ivan Ordets 🟨
17′
20′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ J. Haberer
35′
🟨 Paul Jaeckel
1–0 P. Hofmann
P. Förster
43′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ S. Becker
62′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ N. Gießelmann
62′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ J. Siebatcheu
G. Holtmann 🔁
↦ J. Osei-Tutu
65′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
65′
70′
🟨 Julian Ryerson
71′
🔁 T. Skarke
↦ C. Trimmel
2–0 G. Holtmann
C. Antwi-Adjei
71′
76′
ℹ️ Diogo Leite
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
🟨 Tim Skarke
K. Stafylidis 🔁
↦ P. Förster
79′
P. Osterhage 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
79′
T. Oermann 🔁
↦ C. Gamboa
87′
93′
M. Pantović 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
4 E. Mašović D
20 I. Ordets D
3 Danilo Soares D
8 A. Losilla M
10 P. Förster M
7 K. Stöger M
18 J. Osei-Tutu F
33 P. Hofmann F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
17 G. Holtmann
35 S. Ganvoula
16 K. Stafylidis
6 P. Osterhage
14 T. Oermann
21 M. Esser
38 J. Horn
30 D. Heintz
24 V. Lampropoulos

Coach: T. Letsch

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
3 P. Jaeckel D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
13 A. Schäfer M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
23 N. Gießelmann M
27 S. Becker F
45 J. Siebatcheu F
Bench (9)
32 M. Pantović
40 J. Leweling
6 J. Ryerson
17 K. Behrens
21 T. Skarke
14 P. Seguin
25 T. Baumgartl
24 G. Haraguchi
37 L. Grill

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,27
U
3,47
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.