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Taça de Portugal

Referee: João Ferreira

Felgueiras 1932

S S

1–2

Full-time

Sp Braga

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Felgueiras 1932 Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	São João Ver	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Dumiense	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Sanjoanense	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Vilaverdense	3	3	0	0	+5	9
8	Camacha	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	Oliveira Hospital	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	FC Serpa	3	2	0	1	+8	6
11	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+5	6
14	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Montalegre	3	2	0	1	+4	6
19	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Sertanense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
25	Rabo Peixe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Canelas 2010	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
28	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
29	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Tirsense	3	2	0	1	-1	6
31	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Penafiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
35	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
36	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
37	Oriental Lisboa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
38	Pombal	3	1	1	1	-2	4
39	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
40	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
41	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
42	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
44	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
50	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
54	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Imortal Albufeira	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Courense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
71	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
72	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
126	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
135	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
136	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
137	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
138	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
139	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
140	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
141	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
142	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
143	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
144	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
145	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
146	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
147	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
148	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
149	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Vilaverdense	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Oliveira Hospital	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
16	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
17	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Canelas 2010	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Vianense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Montalegre	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Courense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
12	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Sertanense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
45	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.