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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Ein Frankfurt

U S U U S

0–0

Full-time

Freiburg

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,65 xG 0,58

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 5

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · Freiburg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+14	+11.5	13
2	Leverkusen	5	4	1	0	+11	+6.9	13
3	Stuttgart	5	4	0	1	+10	+5.3	12
4	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+10	+1.1	12
5	Hoffenheim	5	4	0	1	+6	+0.2	12
6	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+4	+4.8	11
7	Wolfsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	+0.2	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	3	0	+1	-0.2	6
9	Union Berlin	5	2	0	3	+0	-1.4	6
10	Werder Bremen	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.0	6
11	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	-5	+0.5	6
12	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-4	+0.0	5
13	Heidenheim	5	1	1	3	-4	-6.5	4
14	Bochum	5	0	3	2	-12	-6.9	3
15	M'gladbach	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.4	2
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-5	-3.7	1
17	Darmstadt	5	0	1	4	-10	-7.9	1
18	Mainz	5	0	1	4	-10	-2.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+12	+5.3	9
2	Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.5	9
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+9	+7.2	7
4	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.2	7
5	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+7	+0.0	6
6	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
7	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.6	6
8	Augsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
10	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.2	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
12	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
13	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
14	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
15	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
16	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.1	1
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	3	3	0	0	+5	+0.8	9
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	+4.3	6
3	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.1	6
4	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.4	4
5	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
6	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.3	3
7	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.0	3
8	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.0	3
9	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.4	3
10	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
11	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
12	FC Koln	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.0	1
13	Heidenheim	3	0	1	2	-5	-5.3	1
14	Bochum	3	0	1	2	-12	-7.9	1
15	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.6	0
16	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.6	0
17	Darmstadt	3	0	0	3	-7	-5.8	0
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.