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Europa League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
West Ham
S S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Freiburg
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
4,4
Scored
1,6
3,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,64 xG 0,45
57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Freiburg – West Ham 1–2

Match report

West Ham Freiburg
1–0 M. Kudus ⚽
E. Álvarez
14′
2–0 E. Álvarez ⚽
J. Bowen
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Röhl
↦ R. Sallai
Pablo Fornals 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
54′
56′
🔁 L. Höler
↦ M. Eggestein
56′
🔁 J. Adamu
↦ M. Gregoritsch
69′
🔁 N. Weißhaupt
↦ V. Grifo
D. Mubama 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
72′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ J. Bowen
72′
74′
🔁 L. Kübler
↦ J. Makengo
M. Cornet 🔁
↦ M. Kudus
88′
T. Kehrer 🔁
↦ V. Coufal
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

West Ham

4-3-3
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
27 N. Aguerd D
33 Emerson D
28 T. Souček M
19 E. Álvarez M
7 J. Ward-Prowse M
14 M. Kudus F
20 J. Bowen F
10 Lucas Paquetá F
Bench (12)
8 Pablo Fornals
45 D. Mubama
18 D. Ings
17 M. Cornet
24 T. Kehrer
2 B. Johnson
32 C. Coventry
23 A. Areola
4 K. Zouma
22 S. Benrahma
21 A. Ogbonna
3 A. Cresswell

Coach: D. Moyes

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
5 M. Gulde D
33 J. Makengo D
42 R. Doan M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
22 R. Sallai F
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
34 M. Röhl
9 L. Höler
20 J. Adamu
7 N. Weißhaupt
17 L. Kübler
54 M. Baur
67 J. Jantunen
21 F. Müller
35 F. Rüdlin

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.