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Europa League
Referee: Georgi Kabakov
Aston Villa
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Young Boys
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 71%
75%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,19 xG 0,38
60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -24 Young Boys – Aston Villa 0–3

Match report

Aston Villa Young Boys
1–0 D. Malen ⚽
Y. Tielemans
27′
2–0 D. Malen ⚽
M. Rogers
42′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Sandro Lauper
E. Konsa 🔁
↦ P. Torres
60′
R. Barkley 🔁
↦ D. Malen
60′
E. Buendia 🔁
↦ M. Rogers
60′
O. Watkins 🔁
↦ Y. Tielemans
60′
Amadou Onana 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 A. Virginius
↦ D. Males
63′
🔁 A. Sanches
↦ R. Raveloson
69′
🔁 J. Monteiro
↦ C. Fassnacht
70′
🔁 C. Bedia
↦ S. Cordova
73′
ℹ️ Chris Bedia
VAR: Goal cancelled
B. Kamara 🔁
↦ A. Onana
79′
82′
🔁 G. Wuthrich
↦ T. Zoukrou
90′
⚽ J. Monteiro 2–1
G. Wuthrich
Ian Maatsen 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martinez G
26 L. Bogarde D
3 V. Lindelof D
14 P. Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
24 A. Onana M
8 Y. Tielemans M
29 E. Guessand M
27 M. Rogers M
19 J. Sancho M
17 D. Malen F
Bench (12)
40 M. Bizot
95 R. Oakley
2 M. Cash
4 E. Konsa
6 R. Barkley
7 J. McGinn
9 H. Elliott
10 E. Buendia
11 O. Watkins
12 L. Digne
16 A. Garcia
44 B. Kamara

Coach: Unai Emery

Young Boys

3-4-2-1
1 M. Keller G
4 T. Zoukrou D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
17 S. Janko M
45 R. Raveloson M
13 D. Pech M
3 J. Hadjam M
39 D. Males F
16 C. Fassnacht F
9 S. Cordova F
Bench (12)
12 H. Lindner
40 D. Marzino
2 R. Andrews
5 G. Wuthrich
7 A. Virginius
10 A. Sanches
25 F. Tsimba
29 C. Bedia
48 J. Luthi
53 E. Rufener
66 R. Smith
77 J. Monteiro

Coach: Gerardo Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.