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Europa League
Referee: Sebastian Gishamer
Feyenoord
T S T T T
1–3
Full-time
Celtic
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,85 xG 1,31
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Feyenoord Celtic
1–0 A. Ueda
S. Steijn
11′
31′
Yang Hyun-Jun 1–1
R. Hatate
39′
🟨 Reo Hatate
43′
R. Hatate 1–2
Half-time 1–2
Oussama Targhalline 🟨
56′
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ G. Smal
62′
G. Diarra 🔁
↦ L. Sauer
62′
62′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ L. McCowan
71′
🔁 S. Tounekti
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
71′
🔁 D. Murray
↦ K. Tierney
Q. Timber 🔁
↦ L. Valente
76′
78′
🟨 Arne Engels
S. van Persie 🔁
↦ J. Lotomba
80′
82′
B. Nygren 1–3
D. Maeda
83′
🔁 P. Bernardo
↦ R. Hatate
83′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ C. Donovan
86′
🟨 Callum McGregor
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
30 J. Lotomba D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
4 T. Watanabe D
5 G. Smal D
14 S. Steijn M
28 O. Targhalline M
40 L. Valente M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
9 A. Ueda F
16 L. Sauer F
Bench (12)
1 J. Bijlow
39 L. Bossin
2 B. Nieuwkoop
8 Q. Timber
11 G. Borges
17 C. Tengstedt
27 G. Diarra
32 A. Sliti
43 J. Plug
46 A. Ouarghi
47 T. Kraaijeveld
49 S. van Persie

Coach: Robin van Persie

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
51 C. Donovan D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
14 L. McCowan M
41 R. Hatate M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
8 B. Nygren
10 M. Balikwisha
17 K. Iheanacho
23 S. Tounekti
24 J. Kenny
28 P. Bernardo
47 D. Murray
56 A. Ralston
59 F. Hale
61 S. Isiguzo

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.