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Europa League
Referee: Harm Osmers
Nott'm Forest
T U U S S
3–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,20 xG 0,06
65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 0
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Malmo FF
1–0 R. Yates ⚽
27′
33′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
2–0 A. Kalimuendo ⚽
R. Yates
44′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🔁 E. Ekong
↦ H. Bolin
3–0 N. Milenkovic ⚽
59′
65′
🔁 A. Christiansen
↦ D. T. Gudjohnsen
65′
🔁 K. Busuladzic
↦ L. Johnsen
E. Anderson 🔁
↦ I. Sangare
66′
D. Ndoye 🔁
↦ N. Dominguez
66′
Igor Jesus 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
66′
Elliot Anderson 🟨
73′
N. Williams 🔁
↦ Murillo
74′
Zach Abbott 🟨
77′
Ryan Yates 🟨
81′
J. Sinclair 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
84′
87′
🔁 O. Lewicki
↦ A. Skogmar
87′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ S. Haksabanovic
Jimmy Sinclair 🟨
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
13 John Victor G
44 Z. Abbott D
31 N. Milenkovic D
4 Morato D
5 Murillo D
22 R. Yates M
6 I. Sangare M
16 N. Dominguez M
24 J. McAtee M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
15 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (11)
26 M. Sels
67 K. Willows
3 N. Williams
8 E. Anderson
14 D. Ndoye
19 Igor Jesus
30 W. Boly
37 N. Savona
51 A. Whitehall
58 J. Thompson
61 J. Sinclair

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Malmo FF

3-4-2-1
33 M. Ellborg G
5 A. Djuric D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
17 J. Stryger M
23 L. Johnsen M
37 A. Skogmar M
25 Busanello M
38 H. Bolin F
29 S. Haksabanovic F
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen F
Bench (12)
30 R. Olsen
2 J. Karlsson
6 O. Lewicki
10 A. Christiansen
11 E. Ekong
13 M. Olsson
15 S. Soumah
16 O. Berg
20 E. Botheim
21 S. Holmquist
40 K. Busuladzic
48 T. Lundbergh

Coach: Endika Gavina

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.