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Conference League
Referee: Marian Alexandru Barbu
Jagiellonia
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Dinamo Tirana
S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Dinamo Tirana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
83%
75%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Jagiellonia Dinamo Tirana
1–0 J. Imaz ⚽
12′
2–0 A. Pululu ⚽
L. Flach
34′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 N. Wojtuszek ⚽
50′
57′
🔁 B. Goudiaby
↦ L. Beqja
57′
🔁 B. Maliqi
↦ H. Berisha
A. Cantero 🔁
↦ A. Pozo
66′
Villar Miki 🔁
↦ O. Pietuszewski
66′
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ A. Pululu
71′
71′
🔁 F. Jonuzi
↦ K. Gassama
71′
🔁 F. Neziri
↦ Lorran
A. Jackson 🔁
↦ J. Imaz
81′
B. Mazurek 🔁
↦ T. Romanczuk
81′
81′
🔁 B. Aniekan James
↦ D. Bregu
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

50 S. Abramowicz
15 N. Wojtuszek
27 B. Wdowik
6 T. Romanczuk
13 B. Vital
4 Y. Kobayashi
7 A. Pozo
31 L. Flach
10 A. Pululu
11 J. Imaz
80 O. Pietuszewski
Bench (10)
22 M. Piekutowski
3 D. Stojinovic
5 C. Polak
9 D. Rallis
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
20 Villar Miki
25 A. Jackson
85 E. Kozlowski
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Dinamo Tirana

77 A. Teqja
18 T. Nani
47 Lorran
10 L. Vila
28 J. Meksi
27 N. Aliji
31 L. Beqja
17 K. Gassama
11 D. Bregu
29 H. Berisha
23 B. Berisha
Bench (11)
1 E. Sali
50 R. Guci
2 U. Ismaili
8 B. Goudiaby
14 B. Maliqi
20 F. Jonuzi
22 B. Dita
24 F. Ferruku
45 B. Aniekan James
93 F. Neziri
99 E. Qardaku

Coach: Ilir Daja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.