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Conference League
Referee: Jérôme Brisard
Anderlecht
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
AEK
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 10
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Anderlecht AEK
8′
🟨 Filipe Relvas
Enric Llansana 🟨
11′
1–0 K. Dolberg ⚽
T. Hazard
21′
Ludwig Augustinsson 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Pineda
↦ R. Ljubicic
46′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ M. Gacinovic
56′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
65′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ Zini
72′
🔁 F. Pierrot
↦ A. Koita
75′
⚽ N. Eliasson 1–1
N. Saliba 🔁
↦ N. De Cat
78′
A. Bertaccini 🔁
↦ C. S. Huerta Valera
78′
L. Vazquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
86′
E. Dao 🔁
↦ N. Angulo
86′
89′
🔁 J. Penrice
↦ D. Kutesa
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
90′
94′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
94′
🟥 Petros Mantalos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
3 L. Hey D
55 M. Kana D
6 L. Augustinsson D
21 C. S. Huerta Valera M
74 N. De Cat M
24 E. Llansana M
19 N. Angulo M
12 K. Dolberg F
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (12)
16 M. Kikkenborg
9 M. Cvetkovic
10 Y. Verschaeren
13 N. Saliba
20 L. Vazquez
22 E. Dao
23 M. Rits
29 M. Stroeykens
58 Y. Ozcan
62 B. Vroninks
78 A. Tajaouart
91 A. Bertaccini

Coach: Besnik Hasi

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
11 A. Koita M
23 R. Ljubicic M
18 R. Marin M
7 D. Kutesa M
90 Zini F
8 M. Gacinovic F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
6 J. Jonsson
9 L. Jovic
13 O. Pineda
14 F. Pierrot
19 N. Eliasson
20 P. Mantalos
21 D. Vida
29 J. Penrice
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jérôme Brisard · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.