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Conference League
Referee: Nick Walsh
Shakhtar Donetsk
U S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Servette
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
23 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Servette
8′
⚽ L. Fomba 0–1
A. Baron
Half-time 0–1
Kevin 🔁
↦ Newerton
46′
46′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ A. Antunes
Vinícius Tobias 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Lilian Njoh
A. Bondarenko 🔁
↦ Kaua Elias
65′
1–1 V. Bondar ⚽
Marlon Gomes
72′
Lucas Ferreira 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
77′
77′
🔁 S. Mraz
↦ K. Varela
84′
🔁 G. Morandi
↦
84′
🔁 T. Magnin
↦ M. Stevanovic
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 V. Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
6 Marlon Gomes M
30 Alisson M
38 Pedrinho M
10 G. Sudakov M
39 Newerton M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
48 D. Tvardovskyi
4 Marlon
11 Kevin
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
20 A. Glushchenko
21 A. Bondarenko
26 Y. Konoplya
29 Y. Nazaryna
37 Lucas Ferreira
74 M. Faryna

Coach: Arda Turan

Servette

4-4-2
1 J. Mall G
2 L. Srdanovic D
25 D. Bronn D
6 A. Baron D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanovic M
8 T. Cognat M
11 L. Fomba M
14 L. Njoh M
10 A. Antunes F
29 K. Varela F
Bench (11)
32 J. Frick
40 M. Aubert
5 G. Ondoua
7 G. Morandi
17 T. Ouattara
20 T. Magnin
21 J. Guillemenot
22 M. Anselme
30 A. Jallow
33 L. Zuka
90 S. Mraz

Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.