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Conference League
Referee: Aliyar Aghayev
Polessya
T T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polessya Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Polessya Fiorentina
8′
⚽ O. Kudryk 1–0
own goal
32′
⚽ R. Gosens 1–1
M. Kean
39′
🟨 Robin Gosens
44′
🟥 Moise Kean
Half-time 1–1
Sergiy Korniychuk 🟨
57′
A. Goncalves 🔁
↦ S. Korniychuk
60′
M. Gayduchyk 🔁
↦ O. Filippov
60′
69′
⚽ A. Gudmundsson 1–2
70′
🔁 E. Dzeko
↦ A. Gudmundsson
76′
🔁 A. Sabiri
↦ S. Sohm
76′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ R. Gosens
Talles Costa 🔁
↦ O. Andriyevski
77′
D. Beskorovaynyi 🔁
↦ E. Sarapiy
83′
Joao Vialle 🔁
↦ S. Chobotenko
83′
86′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ C. Ndour
86′
🔁 M. Viti
↦ L. Ranieri
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Polessya

4-3-3
1 O. Kudryk G
4 M. Kravchenko D
44 S. Chobotenko D
5 E. Sarapiy D
58 S. Korniychuk D
30 B. Lednev M
8 R. Babenko M
18 O. Andriyevski M
11 O. Gutsulyak F
9 O. Filippov F
7 O. Nazarenko F
Bench (9)
23 Y. Volynets
99 V. Uliganets
6 Talles Costa
13 D. Beskorovaynyi
34 Joao Vialle
38 Y. Karaman
40 A. Goncalves
50 Y. Mykytyuk
89 M. Gayduchyk

Coach: Ruslan Rotan

Fiorentina

3-4-2-1
43 D. de Gea G
15 P. Comuzzo D
5 M. Pongracic D
6 L. Ranieri D
2 Dodo M
7 S. Sohm M
44 N. Fagioli M
21 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gudmundsson F
27 C. Ndour F
20 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
9 E. Dzeko
11 A. Sabiri
18 P. Mari
22 J. Fazzini
24 A. Richardson
26 M. Viti
29 N. Fortini
60 E. Kouadio
61 R. Braschi
65 F. Parisi

Coach: Stefano Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.