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Europa League
Referee: Ivan Kružliak
HNK Rijeka
T U T T S
1–0
Full-time
PAOK
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
0,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Rijeka PAOK
7′
🟨 Jonjoe Kenny
Niko Janković 🟨
21′
1–0 L. Menalo ⚽
N. Jankovic
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Luka Ivanušec
55′
🟨 Andrija Živković
60′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ M. Ozdoev
60′
🔁 J. Sastre
↦ J. Kenny
60′
🔁 D. Chatsidis
↦ L. Ivanusec
D. Cop 🔁
↦ L. Menalo
62′
Duje Čop 🟨
67′
70′
🟨 Ioannis Michailidis
71′
🟨 Tomasz Kędziora
S. Ilinkovic 🔁
↦ T. Dantas
75′
S. Butic 🔁
↦ M. Ndockyt
75′
75′
🔁 A. Mythou
↦ F. Chalov
B. Bogojevic 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
23 J. Lasickas D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovic M
26 T. Dantas M
20 M. Ndockyt M
4 N. Jankovic M
17 L. Menalo M
10 T. Fruk M
Bench (12)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
21 S. Ilinkovic
25 D. Thaqi
27 S. Butic
30 B. Bogojevic
51 A. Husic
87 D. Kreilach
77 A. Juric

Coach: Víctor Sánchez del Amo

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. R. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meite M
14 A. Zivkovic M
18 L. Ivanusec F
65 G. Konstantelias M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (12)
88 L. Gugeshashvili
99 A. Tsiftsis
2 M. Camara
6 D. Lovren
7 G. Giakoumakis
23 J. Sastre
32 G. Taylor
33 D. Tsopouroglou
52 D. Chatsidis
56 A. Mythou
77 K. Despodov
97 D. Bataoulas

Coach: Răzvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.