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Europa League
Referee: Morten Krogh
Lincoln Red Imps FC
S T T U U
0–4
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
0%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC Sp Braga
8′
🟨 Jean-Baptiste Gorby
34′
⚽ V. Gomez 0–1
R. Zalazar
Mandi 🟨
38′
39′
⚽ R. Zalazar 0–2
J. Moutinho
Half-time 0–2
N. Pozo 🔁
↦ Mandi
46′
R. Munoz 🔁
↦ V. Villacanas
46′
50′
🔁 G. Martinez
↦ R. Horta
Abdul Ibrahim Ayew 🟨
58′
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ K. Gomez
64′
65′
🔁 Gabriel Moscardo
↦ Gorby
65′
🔁 P. Victor
↦ M. Dorgeles
Juanje 🔁
↦ I. Ayew
78′
J. Peacock 🔁
↦ T. Garcia
78′
80′
⚽ R. Zalazar 0–3
L. Lelo
81′
🔁 A. El Ouazzani
↦ F. Navarro
81′
🔁 S. Vidigal
↦ R. Zalazar
90′
⚽ P. Victor 0–4
G. Martinez
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-1-4-1
1 Nauzet Santana G
3 C. Rutjens D
6 B. Lopes D
5 I. Ayew D
21 Nano M
8 Mandi M
18 T. Garcia M
22 G. Torrilla M
70 V. Villacanas F
9 K. Gomez F
10 T. De Barr F
Bench (12)
13 J. Hankins
2 J. Toscano
4 N. Pozo
7 L. Casciaro
11 Juanje
15 R. Munoz
16 T. Carrington
19 K. Clinton
23 Joe
29 L. Chipolina
71 J. Peacock
80 B. Dabo

Coach: Juan José Bezares Alarcón

Sp Braga

4-3-3
1 L. Hornicek G
2 V. Gomez D
14 G. Lagerbielke D
4 S. Niakate D
5 L. Lelo M
29 Gorby M
8 J. Moutinho M
20 M. Dorgeles M
10 R. Zalazar M
39 F. Navarro F
21 R. Horta M
Bench (12)
12 T. Sa
36 A. Bellaarouch
6 Vitor Carvalho
7 Roger
9 A. El Ouazzani
15 P. Oliveira
17 Gabriel Moscardo
18 P. Victor
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
50 D. Rodrigues
77 G. Martinez
95 S. Vidigal

Coach: Juan Carlos Vicens Gómez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.