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Conference League
Referee: Tamas Bognar
Levski Sofia
U U T S S
0–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levski Sofia AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
4,2
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Levski Sofia AZ Alkmaar
Rildo 🟨
23′
44′
🟨 Isak Steiner Jensen
Half-time 0–0
B. Rupanov 🔁
↦ Rildo
46′
56′
I. Sadiq 0–1
I. Jensen
C. Ohene 🔁
↦ A. Mitkov
58′
62′
T. Parrott 0–2
65′
🟨 Ibrahim Sadiq
M. Soula 🔁
↦ M. Petkov
71′
71′
🔁 M. Meerdink
↦ I. Jensen
K. Fabien 🔁
↦ R. Kirilov
83′
84′
🔁 D. Kwakman
↦ J. Clasie
84′
🔁 J. Hartog
↦ I. Sadiq
Kristian Dimitrov 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Wouter Goes
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Levski Sofia

92 S. Vutsov G
21 A. Neves D
50 K. Dimitrov D
4 C. Makoun D
3 Maicon D
18 G. Trdin M
10 A. Mitkov M
88 M. Petkov M
37 Rildo M
99 R. Kirilov M
17 Everton Bala F
Bench (11)
1 O. Vladimirov
78 M. Lukov
6 Tsunami
7 Fabio Lima
8 C. Ohene
22 M. Soula
23 P. Myslovic
31 N. Serafimov
71 O. Kamdem
77 B. Rupanov
95 K. Fabien

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
8 J. Clasie M
26 K. Smit M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
11 I. Sadiq F
9 T. Parrott F
17 I. Jensen F
Bench (11)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
15 M. Chavez Garcia
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
23 B. van Duijl
28 Z. Buurmeester
35 M. Meerdink
60 S. van Duijn
63 J. Hartog

Coach: Maarten Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.