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Europa League
Referee: Marco Guida
Brann
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brann AEK Larnaca
Thore Baardsen Pedersen 🟨
4′
Felix Horn Myhre 🟨
14′
16′
⚽ K. Angielski 0–1
Y. Chacon
1–1 F. Myhre ⚽
N. Castro
20′
45′
🟨 Đorđe Ivanović
Half-time 1–1
D. De Roeve 🔁
↦ J. Soltvedt
62′
M. Haaland 🔁
↦ N. Castro
62′
66′
🔁 E. Saborit
↦ V. Roberge
66′
🔁 Y. Amyn
↦ D. Ivanovic
66′
🔁 E. Cabrera
↦ K. Angielski
73′
🟨 Godswill Ekpolo
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ B. Finne
74′
J. Torsvik 🔁
↦ F. Knudsen
74′
89′
🔁 R. Bajic
↦ P. Pons
90′
🟨 Riad Bajić
2–1 J. Torsvik ⚽
D. De Roeve
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
3 F. Knudsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
19 E. Gudmundsson M
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
24 M. Klausen
7 M. Hansen
15 J. Torsvik
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
41 L. Remmem
43 R. Holten

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

AEK Larnaca

4-4-2
1 Z. Alomerovic G
21 Miramon D
22 G. Ekpolo D
15 H. Milicevic D
27 V. Roberge D
6 Jimmy Suarez M
17 P. Pons M
7 Ledes Gustavo M
18 Y. Chacon M
9 D. Ivanovic M
19 K. Angielski F
Bench (12)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. I. Ioannou
4 E. Saborit
11 R. Bajic
20 Y. Amyn
24 Danny Henriques
30 E. Cabrera
35 C. Thoma
36 C. Loukaidis
37 D. Gerasimou
41 Mathias Gonzalez

Coach: Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.