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Conference League
Referee: E Malcevs
Jagiellonia
S S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Vallecano
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,16 xG 1,40
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia Vallecano
6′
⚽ S. Camello 0–1
A. Garcia
Dawid Drachal 🟨
31′
43′
🟨 Josep Chavarría
1–1 J. Imaz ⚽
44′
Half-time 1–1
B. Mazurek 🔁
↦ D. Drachal
46′
55′
🟨 Sergio Camello
60′
🔁 J. de Frutos
↦ A. Garcia
60′
🔁 F. Perez
↦ S. Camello
60′
🔁 Pacha
↦ I. Balliu
61′
⚽ Pacha 1–2
P. Chavarria
65′
🟨 Isi Palazón
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ L. Flach
68′
S. Lozano 🔁
↦ A. Pozo
68′
80′
🟨 Pathé Ismaël Ciss
80′
🔁 O. Valentin
↦ P. Ciss
Afimico Pululu 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 G. Gumbau
↦ U. Lopez
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ N. Wojtuszek
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
11 J. Imaz M
31 L. Flach M
8 D. Drachal M
7 A. Pozo F
10 A. Pululu F
80 O. Pietuszewski F
Bench (12)
22 M. Piekutowski
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
6 T. Romanczuk
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
85 E. Kozlowski
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Vallecano

4-3-3
13 A. Batalla G
20 I. Balliu D
24 F. Lejeune D
5 Luiz Felipe D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
6 P. Ciss M
7 I. Palazon M
2 A. Ratiu F
10 S. Camello F
18 A. Garcia F
Bench (10)
30 A. Molina
1 D. Cardenas
15 G. Gumbau
19 J. de Frutos
21 F. Perez
22 Pacha
23 O. Valentin
26 M. de las Sias
28 S. Becerra
33 J. Vertrouwd

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.