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Conference League
Referee: F Badstubner
Hamrun Spartans
U T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamrun Spartans Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,23 xG 2,79
39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hamrun Spartans Shakhtar Donetsk
10′
🟨 Yukhym Konoplia
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Tobias
↦ Y. Konoplya
46′
🔁 O. Ocheretko
↦ A. Bondarenko
50′
🟨 Oleg Ocheretko
Joseph Mbong 🟨
52′
Matias Garcia 🟨
57′
61′
⚽ Luca Meirelles 0–1
I. Azarovi
64′
⚽ Isaque Silva 0–2
Pedrinho
S. Attard 🔁
↦ N. Koffi
65′
M. El Fanis 🔁
↦ J. Mbong
65′
S. Meijer 🔁
↦ S. Smajlagic
65′
67′
🔁 Eguinaldo
↦ Pedrinho
S. Xerri 🔁
↦ Emerson
74′
D. Simkus 🔁
↦ J. Cadjenovic
74′
81′
🔁 Kaua Elias
↦ Luca Meirelles
89′
🔁 M. Faryna
↦ I. Azarovi
90′
🟨 Eguinaldo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hamrun Spartans

4-5-1
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
91 Emerson D
27 O. Bjelicic D
94 R. Camenzuli D
10 J. Mbong M
20 J. Cadjenovic M
24 A. Coric M
8 M. Garcia M
19 N. Koffi M
14 S. Smajlagic F
Bench (12)
12 M. Camilleri
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
5 S. Xerri
7 S. Attard
9 S. Thioune
16 S. Camilleri
33 D. Simkus
47 M. El Fanis
55 K. Vella
77 M. Hadzi
99 S. Meijer

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
23 K. Fesyun G
26 Y. Konoplya D
18 A. Ghram D
5 V. Bondar D
16 I. Azarovi D
29 Y. Nazaryna M
10 Pedrinho M
21 A. Bondarenko M
14 Isaque Silva M
37 Lucas Ferreira M
49 Luca Meirelles F
Bench (11)
34 R. Bahlai
48 D. Tvardovskyi
3 D. Arroyo
7 Eguinaldo
8 D. Kryskiv
9 M. Shved
11 Newerton
17 V. Tobias
19 Kaua Elias
27 O. Ocheretko
74 M. Faryna

Coach: Arda Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Badstubner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.