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Conference League
Referee: Igor Stojcevski
Jagiellonia
S U S U U
1–0
Full-time
Hamrun Spartans
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Hamrun Spartans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Conference League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,56 xG 0,58
63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Jagiellonia Hamrun Spartans
Jesús Imaz ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
41′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Vincenzo Polito
Afimico Pululu 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Ederson
1–0 J. Imaz ⚽
A. Pululu
57′
61′
ℹ️ Joseph Mbong
VAR: Card upgrade
62′
🟥 Joseph Mbong
S. Lozano 🔁
↦ L. Flach
66′
66′
🔁 J. Cadjenovic
↦ D. Simkus
L. Prip 🔁
↦ A. Pozo
76′
76′
🔁 S. Smajlagic
↦ N. Koffi
76′
🔁 M. El Fanis
↦ Ederson
76′
🔁 S. Meijer
↦ S. Thioune
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ J. Imaz
85′
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ A. Pululu
85′
Bartłomiej Wdowik 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
31 L. Flach M
7 A. Pozo M
11 J. Imaz M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (11)
22 M. Piekutowski
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Hamrun Spartans

4-3-3
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
13 V. Polito D
27 O. Bjelicic D
94 R. Camenzuli D
33 D. Simkus M
24 A. Coric M
25 Ederson M
10 J. Mbong F
19 N. Koffi F
9 S. Thioune F
Bench (12)
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
5 S. Xerri
6 D. Letherby
7 S. Attard
8 M. Garcia
14 S. Smajlagic
20 J. Cadjenovic
47 M. El Fanis
77 M. Hadzi
91 Emerson
99 S. Meijer

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.