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Conference League
Referee: Henrik Nalbandyan
Hamrun Spartans
T T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Lausanne
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamrun Spartans Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,83 xG 1,03
52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hamrun Spartans Lausanne
Merlin Hadzi 🟨
28′
38′
⚽ G. Diakite 0–1
K. Mouanga
42′
🟨 Jamie Roche
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 B. Lekoueiry
↦ G. Sigua
57′
🔁 N. Beloko
↦ N. Butler-Oyedeji
M. El Fanis 🔁
↦ M. Hadzi
64′
67′
🔁 A. Ajdini
↦ T. Bair
Emerson 🟨
78′
S. Smajlagic 🔁
↦ Ederson
82′
J. Cadjenovic 🔁
↦ N. Koffi
82′
86′
🔁 H. Abdallah
↦ G. Diakite
87′
🟨 Hamza Abdallah
S. Attard 🔁
↦ O. Bjelicic
90′
94′
🟨 Olivier Custodio
95′
🟨 Brandon Soppy
Jovan Čađenović 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamrun Spartans

4-5-1
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
13 V. Polito D
91 Emerson D
94 R. Camenzuli D
77 M. Hadzi M
27 O. Bjelicic M
24 A. Coric M
25 Ederson M
9 S. Thioune M
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
12 M. Camilleri
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
5 S. Xerri
6 D. Letherby
7 S. Attard
8 M. Garcia
14 S. Smajlagic
16 S. Camilleri
20 J. Cadjenovic
33 D. Simkus
47 M. El Fanis

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
5 B. Okoh D
18 M. Poaty D
38 G. Sigua M
8 J. Roche M
10 O. Custodio M
70 G. Diakite M
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (12)
1 T. Castella
94 T. Hottiger
7 A. Ajdini
16 N. Beloko
19 E. Bruchez
20 H. Abdallah
22 E. Kana-Biyik
27 B. Lekoueiry
47 S. N'Diaye
54 R. Lippo
71 K. Sow
93 S. Fofana

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.