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Conference League
Referee: Bulat Sariyev
Samsunspor
U S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Hamrun Spartans
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Hamrun Spartans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 0,26
52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Samsunspor Hamrun Spartans
1–0 C. Holse ⚽
E. Kilinc
18′
Carlo Holse ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
20′
22′
🟨 Joseph Mbong
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Thioune
↦ S. Smajlagic
46′
🔁 Ederson
↦ M. Garcia
2–0 E. Kilinc ⚽
Z. Yavru
58′
P. Yaldir 🔁
↦ A. Musaba
70′
Y. E. Cift 🔁
↦ A. Makoumbou
70′
70′
🔁 S. Xerri
↦ Rafael Compri
3–0 Marius ⚽
C. Holse
77′
S. Aydogdu 🔁
↦ C. Holse
80′
T. Borevkovic 🔁
↦ L. Tomasson
80′
84′
🔁 J. Cadjenovic
↦ J. Mbong
84′
🔁 S. Meijer
↦ V. Polito
S. Gonul 🔁
↦ C. Yuksel
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Samsunspor

4-1-4-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 L. Satka D
4 R. Van Drongelen D
17 L. Tomasson D
29 A. Makoumbou M
11 E. Kilinc M
21 C. Holse M
5 C. Yuksel M
7 A. Musaba M
9 Marius F
Bench (11)
12 A. Posiadala
48 E. B. Toruz
2 J. Mendes
8 S. Aydogdu
16 T. Bulbul
22 P. Yaldir
24 T. Borevkovic
25 F. Atoen
28 S. Gonul
36 D. Seker
55 Y. E. Cift

Coach: Thomas Reis

Hamrun Spartans

4-3-3
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
13 V. Polito D
91 Emerson D
94 R. Camenzuli D
27 O. Bjelicic M
24 A. Coric M
8 M. Garcia M
10 J. Mbong F
14 S. Smajlagic F
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
5 S. Xerri
6 D. Letherby
7 S. Attard
9 S. Thioune
16 S. Camilleri
20 J. Cadjenovic
25 Ederson
33 D. Simkus
77 M. Hadzi
99 S. Meijer

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.