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Conference League
Referee: P Farrugia
Lincoln Red Imps FC
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,17 xG 0,69
40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC HNK Rijeka
12′
🟨 Merveil Ndockyt
21′
🟨 Mladen Devetak
Mandi 🟨
23′
41′
⚽ T. Fruk 0–1
D. Thaqi
Half-time 0–1
Juanje 🔁
↦ V. Villacanas
50′
55′
🟨 Ante Matej Jurić
61′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ S. Vignato
61′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ A. Orec
N. Pozo 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
62′
66′
🔁 D. Adu Adjei
↦ A. Juric
66′
🔁 B. Bogojevic
↦ D. Thaqi
Tjay De Barr 🟨
73′
G. Torrilla 🔁
↦ J. Toscano
76′
81′
🔁 T. Dantas
↦ M. Ndockyt
1–1 K. Gomez ⚽
Juanje
83′
Kike Gómez 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-4-2
13 J. Hankins
24 T. Kolega D
6 B. Lopes D
3 C. Rutjens D
2 J. Toscano D
70 V. Villacanas M
18 T. Garcia M
8 Mandi M
80 B. Dabo M
9 K. Gomez F
10 T. De Barr F
Bench (10)
1 Nauzet Santana
4 N. Pozo
7 L. Casciaro
11 Juanje
15 R. Munoz
19 K. Clinton
22 G. Torrilla
23 Joe
29 L. Chipolina
71 J. Peacock

Coach: Juan Bezares

HNK Rijeka

4-1-4-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
51 A. Husic D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovic M
19 S. Vignato M
10 T. Fruk M
20 M. Ndockyt M
25 D. Thaqi M
77 A. Juric F
Bench (12)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
17 L. Menalo
18 D. Adu Adjei
23 J. Lasickas
26 T. Dantas
27 S. Butic
30 B. Bogojevic
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Farrugia · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
12,1 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.