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Conference League
Referee: V Fotias
HNK Rijeka
U S U S S
1–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,9
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,39 xG 2,50
50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Rijeka Strasbourg
2′
⚽ J. Panichelli 0–1
S. Nanasi
29′
🟨 Ismael Doukouré
Toni Fruk 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Omobamidele
↦ I. Doukoure
47′
🟨 Andrew Omobamidele
Ante Majstorović 🟨
52′
65′
🔁 M. Godo
↦ S. Nanasi
65′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ J. Enciso
D. Cop 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
66′
D. Petrovic 🔁
↦ M. Ndockyt
66′
72′
⚽ M. Godo 0–2
G. Doue
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ M. Devetak
74′
A. Juric 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
74′
1–2 A. Majstorovic ⚽
T. Dantas
76′
77′
🔁 D. D. Fofana
↦ J. Panichelli
84′
🟨 Guéla Doué
86′
🔁 G. Yassine
↦ S. Amo-Ameyaw
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-1-3-2
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
55 A. Barco M
20 M. Ndockyt M
26 T. Dantas M
14 A. Gojak M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
10 T. Fruk F
Bench (10)
99 A. Todorovic
23 J. Lasickas
7 T. Morchiladze
9 D. Cop
8 D. Petrovic
51 A. Husic
11 G. Rukavina
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic
25 D. Thaqi

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders G
22 G. Doue D
24 L. Hogsberg D
6 I. Doukoure D
3 B. Chilwell D
29 S. El Mourabet M
32 V. Barco M
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw M
19 J. Enciso M
11 S. Nanasi M
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (12)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
15 D. D. Fofana
20 M. Godo
42 A. Ouattara
17 M. Amougou
80 G. Yassine
37 G. Kodia
2 A. Omobamidele
83 R. Luis
46 M. Marechal
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.