Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
West Brom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +33 | 34 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +21 | 26 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 23 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 |
Arsenal
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Burnley
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Brighton
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 16 |
| 10 |
Huddersfield
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 |
Leicester
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |
Southampton
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 |
Stoke
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 |
Everton
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |
West Brom
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 10 |
| 19 |
Swansea
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |
Crystal Palace
|
12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Trippier
M
B. Davies
M
D. Sánchez
D
E. Dier
D
H. Winks
M
H. Kane
F
Coach: M. Pochettino
S. Field
M
Coach: G. Megson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Arsenal
Tottenham
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Man United
Tottenham
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.