Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Groningen
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | +25 | 33 |
| 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 28 |
| 3 |
Ajax
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +25 | 25 |
| 4 |
Zwolle
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |
Vitesse
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 18 |
| 8 |
Den Haag
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 |
Utrecht
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 |
Heracles
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 |
Groningen
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |
Twente
|
13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 |
Roda
|
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -14 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Padt
G
R. Jenssen
M
J. Bacuna
M
R. Doan
M
Coach: E. Faber
R. Haps
D
T. Vilhena
M
S. Amrabat
M
S. Berghuis
F
S. Larsson
F
Coach: G. van Bronckhorst
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Groningen
Vitesse
Heracles
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Groningen
Willem II
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.