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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Norwich
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Preston
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 14. · Preston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 18 13 2 3 +19 41
2 Cardiff 18 11 4 3 +12 37
3 Sheffield United 18 12 0 6 +11 36
4 Bristol City 18 8 7 3 +9 31
5 Leeds 19 9 2 8 +5 29
6 Middlesbrough 17 8 4 5 +9 28
7 Aston Villa 16 8 4 4 +8 28
8 Derby 16 8 4 4 +6 28
9 Nott'm Forest 18 9 0 9 -1 27
10 Ipswich 17 8 2 7 +4 26
11 Sheffield Weds 18 6 7 5 +2 25
12 Preston 18 6 7 5 +1 25
13 Brentford 18 5 8 5 +2 23
14 Norwich 18 6 5 7 -6 23
15 Fulham 16 5 7 4 +1 22
16 QPR 18 5 6 7 -6 21
17 Barnsley 18 5 5 8 -2 20
18 Millwall 18 4 7 7 +0 19
19 Reading 17 5 4 8 -3 19
20 Hull 18 4 6 8 -2 18
21 Birmingham 18 4 3 11 -18 15
22 Burton Albion 18 3 5 10 -23 14
23 Bolton 18 2 7 9 -16 13
24 Sunderland 18 1 8 9 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Preston
6′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
1–0 J. Maddison
34′
41′
🟨 Darnell Fisher
Half-time 1–0
Mario Vrančić 🟨
55′
Harrison Reed 🟨
63′
70′
T. Barkhuizen 1–1
P. Huntington
Nelson Oliveira 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Ben Davies
Y. Wildschut 🔁
↦ H. Reed
76′
A. Pritchard 🔁
↦ Josh Murphy
76′
80′
🟨 Paul Gallagher
81′
🔁 J. Harrop
↦ P. Gallagher
104′
🔁 T. Clarke
↦ P. Huntington
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gunn G
2 Ivo Pinto D
31 G. Hanley D
6 C. Zimmermann D
8 M. Vrančić M
14 W. Hoolahan M
18 M. Stiepermann M
4 H. Reed M
23 J. Maddison M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
11 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
17 Y. Wildschut
21 A. Pritchard
10 C. Jerome
28 M. Franke
33 M. McGovern
35 A. Phillips
36 T. Cantwell

Coach: D. Farke

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
15 C. Woods D
14 D. Fisher D
20 B. Davies D
12 P. Gallagher M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
37 C. Robinson M
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
10 J. Harrop
5 T. Clarke
1 D. Rudd
6 A. Boyle
7 D. Horgan
19 J. Welsh
25 K. O'Connor

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.