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Championship
Referee: Andy Haines
Hull
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
23 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 4. · Blackburn 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 8 6 2 0 +6 20
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Burnley 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Hull 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Derby 9 3 5 1 +3 14
6 Ipswich 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 +6 12
8 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +4 12
9 Cardiff 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Nott'm Forest 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 -3 12
12 Fulham 8 3 2 3 +4 11
13 Leeds 8 2 5 1 +1 11
14 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 -1 10
15 Sheffield Weds 8 2 3 3 -2 9
16 Charlton 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Brentford 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Wolves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
19 Blackburn 8 1 4 3 +0 7
20 Milton Keynes Dons 9 2 1 6 -5 7
21 Bolton 8 1 4 3 -6 7
22 Preston 8 1 3 4 -4 6
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 -8 5
24 Bristol City 8 1 2 5 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Blackburn
Curtis Davies 🟨
1′
8′
🔁 H. Akpan
↦ D. Guthrie
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Grant Hanley
S. Maloney 🔁
↦ M. Diamé
61′
J. Livermore 🔁
↦ A. Robertson
65′
Michael Dawson 🟨
67′
1–0 A. Hernández
Ahmed El Mohamady
73′
74′
🟨 Jason Steele
79′
🔁 N. Delfouneso
↦ T. Lawrence
83′
🔁 T. Spurr
↦ B. Marshall
D. Meyler 🔁
↦ A. Hernández
88′
90′
🟨 Corry Evans
91′
J. Rhodes 1–1
C. Conway
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
26 A. Robertson D
8 T. Huddlestone M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
17 M. Diamé M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
9 A. Hernández F
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
15 S. Maloney
14 J. Livermore
7 D. Meyler
12 H. Maguire
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden
24 S. Aluko

Blackburn

30 J. Steele G
14 M. Olsson D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
2 A. Henley D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
16 T. Lawrence M
11 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
21 H. Akpan
7 N. Delfouneso
3 T. Spurr
17 L. Williamson
18 J. O'Sullivan
26 D. Lenihan
33 David Raya

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.