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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Barcelona

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Alaves

U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

4,2

1,0

Scored

3,8

0,5

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

1,0

Scored

3,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%

16 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

13 Corners 0

5 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 4. · Alaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Betis	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.