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Championship
Referee: Mike Jones
Birmingham
S T U T T
1–2
Full-time
QPR
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
19%
52%
Both score Ø 48%
29%
67%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
0,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 22. · QPR 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 22 16 3 3 +25 51
2 Cardiff 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Bristol City 21 11 7 3 +12 40
4 Derby 20 11 4 5 +12 37
5 Sheffield United 21 12 1 8 +8 37
6 Aston Villa 19 9 6 4 +10 33
7 Leeds 21 10 3 8 +7 33
8 Ipswich 21 10 2 9 +3 32
9 Preston 21 8 8 5 +3 32
10 Middlesbrough 20 9 4 7 +7 31
11 Nott'm Forest 21 10 0 11 -4 30
12 Fulham 19 7 7 5 +1 28
13 Brentford 21 6 9 6 +3 27
14 Reading 21 7 6 8 +2 27
15 Sheffield Weds 22 6 9 7 -1 27
16 Norwich 21 7 6 8 -6 27
17 Millwall 21 5 8 8 +1 23
18 Hull 21 5 7 9 -2 22
19 QPR 21 5 7 9 -9 22
20 Barnsley 21 5 5 11 -10 20
21 Bolton 21 3 7 11 -19 16
22 Birmingham 21 4 4 13 -20 16
23 Sunderland 21 2 9 10 -12 15
24 Burton Albion 21 3 5 13 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham QPR
17′
J. Robinson 0–1
L. Freeman
45′
🟨 Josh Scowen
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Gallagher
57′
Sam Gallagher 🟨
67′
68′
🟨 Matt Smith
J. Maghoma 🔁
↦ D. Davis
75′
75′
🔁 Idrissa Sylla
↦ M. Smith
83′
J. Robinson 1–2
L. Freeman
84′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ C. Washington
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ Jota Peleteiro
87′
88′
🔁 G. Hall
↦ L. Freeman
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-3-3
13 D. Stockdale G
3 J. Grounds D
28 M. Morrison D
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
8 C. Gardner M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
27 Jota Peleteiro M
20 J. Boga M
18 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
19 J. Maghoma
10 L. Jutkiewicz
2 Nsue
15 C. Bramall
17 C. N'Doye
39 C. Trueman
50 S. Gleeson

Coach: S. Cotterill

QPR

3-5-2
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
20 A. Baptiste D
3 J. Bidwell D
18 J. Robinson D
22 P. Wszołek M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
7 L. Freeman M
17 M. Smith F
9 C. Washington F
Bench (7)
40 Idrissa Sylla
34 B. Osayi-Samuel
4 G. Hall
8 J. Cousins
26 J. Lumley
33 I. Chair
36 D. Wheeler

Coach: I. Holloway

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.