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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Bristol City
U T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 3. · Nott'm Forest 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 22 16 3 3 +25 51
2 Cardiff 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Bristol City 21 11 7 3 +12 40
4 Derby 20 11 4 5 +12 37
5 Sheffield United 21 12 1 8 +8 37
6 Aston Villa 19 9 6 4 +10 33
7 Leeds 21 10 3 8 +7 33
8 Ipswich 21 10 2 9 +3 32
9 Preston 21 8 8 5 +3 32
10 Middlesbrough 20 9 4 7 +7 31
11 Nott'm Forest 21 10 0 11 -4 30
12 Fulham 19 7 7 5 +1 28
13 Brentford 21 6 9 6 +3 27
14 Reading 21 7 6 8 +2 27
15 Sheffield Weds 22 6 9 7 -1 27
16 Norwich 21 7 6 8 -6 27
17 Millwall 21 5 8 8 +1 23
18 Hull 21 5 7 9 -2 22
19 QPR 21 5 7 9 -9 22
20 Barnsley 21 5 5 11 -10 20
21 Bolton 21 3 7 11 -19 16
22 Birmingham 21 4 4 13 -20 16
23 Sunderland 21 2 9 10 -12 15
24 Burton Albion 21 3 5 13 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Nott'm Forest
Josh Brownhill 🟨
25′
1–0 M. Pack
K. Smith
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ M. Mills
2–0 J. Bryan
J. Paterson
47′
47′
K. Dowell 2–1
L. Bridcutt
63′
🟨 Liam Bridcutt
63′
🔁 Z. Clough
↦ A. Bouchalakis
M. Taylor 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
77′
77′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ M. Carayol
86′
🟨 Joe Worrall
Cauley Woodrow 🟨
90′
C. Woodrow 🔁
↦ B. Reid
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-4-1-1
1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
23 H. Magnússon D
6 N. Baker D
5 B. Wright D
3 J. Bryan D
7 K. Smith M
21 M. Pack M
14 B. Reid F
8 J. Brownhill M
20 J. Paterson M
Bench (7)
10 M. Taylor
18 C. Woodrow
15 L. Steele
26 Z. Vyner
45 J. Leko
19 N. Eliasson
22 M. Đurić

Coach: L. Johnson

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
43 J. Smith G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
2 E. Lichaj D
42 J. Worrall D
7 L. Bridcutt M
18 M. Carayol M
31 A. Bouchalakis M
20 K. Dowell M
9 D. Murphy F
34 T. Walker F
Bench (7)
11 B. Osborn
16 Z. Clough
17 B. Brereton
19 J. Ward
10 B. McKay
26 D. Evtimov
14 M. Cash

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.