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Bundesliga

Referee: Knut Kircher

Bayern Munich

S S S

2–1

Full-time

Augsburg

T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,3

Scored

3,3

0,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,3

Scored

3,3

0,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

80% Possession 20%

28 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Augsburg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Mainz	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Hertha	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Darmstadt	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Hoffenheim	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Darmstadt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hertha	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.