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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Hertha
S U T
2–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Stuttgart 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Leverkusen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 FC Ingolstadt 04 3 2 0 1 -2 6
9 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Hertha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Darmstadt 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Hoffenheim 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Hannover 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Stuttgart 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Stuttgart
1–0 G. Haraguchi ⚽
M. Weiser
14′
36′
⚽ T. Šunjić 1–1
D. Didavi
45′
🟨 Serey Dié
V. Ibišević 🔁
↦ R. Beerens
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 F. Lustenberger ⚽
S. Langkamp
48′
55′
🔁 R. Kruse
↦ M. Harnik
59′
🟨 Filip Kostić
60′
🟨 Daniel Didavi
68′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ F. Kostić
N. Stark 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
73′
79′
🔁 A. Ferati
↦ D. Didavi
A. Baumjohann 🔁
↦ P. Skjelbred
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

1 T. Kraft G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
27 R. Beerens F
3 P. Skjelbred M
14 V. Stocker M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
20 M. Weiser D
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
19 V. Ibišević
5 N. Stark
9 A. Baumjohann
22 R. Jarstein
23 J. van den Bergh
13 J. Hegeler
17 T. Cigerci

Stuttgart

17 O. Vlachodimos G
16 F. Klein D
2 E. Insúa D
21 A. Hloušek D
4 T. Šunjić D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
10 D. Didavi M
7 M. Harnik F
33 D. Ginczek F
18 F. Kostić M
Bench (7)
9 R. Kruse
44 A. Maxim
31 A. Ferati
8 L. Rupp
32 B. Uphoff
3 D. Schwaab
6 G. Niedermeier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.