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Serie A
Referee: Andrea Gervasoni
Frosinone
T T
0–2
Full-time
Roma
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Roma 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chievo 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Torino 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Roma 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Genoa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Napoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Verona 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Juventus 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Frosinone 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Carpi 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Roma
P. Sammarco 🔁
↦ R. Gucher
20′
27′
🟨 Iago Falque
38′
🟨 Francesco Totti
Modibo Diakité 🟨
40′
44′
⚽ Iago Falqué 0–1
L. Digne
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 R. Nainggolan
↦ E. Džeko
64′
🟨 Daniele De Rossi
Daniel Pavlović 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 Mohamed Salah
↦ Iago Falqué
Aleandro Rosi 🟨
76′
D. Verde 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
77′
81′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ F. Totti
S. Longo 🔁
↦ D. Soddimo
89′
Nicola Leali 🟨
90′
93′
⚽ J. Iturbe 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Frosinone

33 N. Leali G
28 A. Rosi M
24 M. Diakité D
20 D. Pavlovic
6 L. Blanchard D
10 D. Soddimo M
8 R. Gucher M
19 A. Tonev M
22 R. Chibsah M
18 F. Dionisi F
9 D. Ciofani F
Bench (12)
21 P. Sammarco
11 D. Verde
12 S. Longo
1 Massimo Zappino
3 R. Crivello
4 A. Russo
7 A. Frara
13 M. Ciofani
17 L. Paganini
23 L. Gomis
30 N. Castillo
69 D. Bertoncini

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
44 K. Manolas D
3 L. Digne D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
20 S. Kéita
24 A. Florenzi D
10 F. Totti F
27 Y. Gervinho F
9 E. Džeko F
14 Iago Falqué F
Bench (12)
4 R. Nainggolan
11 Mohamed Salah
7 J. Iturbe
18 E. Ponce
5 Leandro Castan
13 Maicon
21 W. Vainqueur
23 N. Gyömbér
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
35 V. Torosidis
48 S. Uçan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andrea Gervasoni · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.