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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Hannover
S T S T T
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover FC Ingolstadt 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
62%
15%
Both score Ø 43%
62%
23%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 15. · FC Ingolstadt 04 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 12 1 0 +35 37
2 Dortmund 13 9 2 2 +18 29
3 Wolfsburg 13 7 3 3 +8 24
4 Hertha 13 7 2 4 +3 23
5 M'gladbach 13 7 1 5 +6 22
6 Leverkusen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
7 Schalke 04 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 FC Koln 14 5 5 4 -3 20
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 13 5 4 4 +0 19
10 Hamburg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
11 Mainz 13 5 2 6 -1 17
12 Darmstadt 14 3 6 5 -5 15
13 Ein Frankfurt 13 3 5 5 -3 14
14 Werder Bremen 13 4 1 8 -12 13
15 Hannover 13 3 2 8 -11 11
16 Stuttgart 13 3 1 9 -14 10
17 Augsburg 13 2 3 8 -8 9
18 Hoffenheim 13 1 5 7 -8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover FC Ingolstadt 04
1–0 Marcelo
Miiko Albornoz
5′
2–0 L. Andreasen
K. Karaman
11′
Leon Andreasen 🟨
15′
3–0 K. Karaman
U. Bech
24′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ T. Pekhart
46′
🔁 D. da Costa
↦ R. Bauer
Christian Schulz 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Tobias Levels
56′
🟨 Marvin Matip
60′
🟨 Danny da Costa
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ L. Andreasen
71′
77′
🔁 A. Cohen
↦ M. Leckie
Ceyhun Gülselam 🟨
79′
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ A. Sobiech
82′
4–0 U. Bech
85′
Felipe 🔁
↦ S. Sané
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Hannover

1 R. Zieler G
19 C. Schulz D
25 Marcelo D
3 Miiko Albornoz D
29 O. Sorg D
5 S. Sané D
2 L. Andreasen M
8 M. Schmiedebach M
17 U. Bech F
26 K. Karaman F
9 A. Sobiech F
Bench (7)
6 C. Gülselam
35 C. Benschop
20 Felipe
4 H. Sakai
7 E. Prib
13 P. Tschauner
14 A. Saint-Maximin

FC Ingolstadt 04

1 R. Özcan G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
5 B. Hübner D
8 Roger M
6 A. Morales M
10 P. Groß F
23 R. Bauer D
11 T. Pekhart F
9 M. Hartmann F
7 M. Leckie M
Bench (7)
16 L. Hinterseer
21 D. da Costa
36 A. Cohen
18 R. Brégerie
19 M. Christiansen
26 Ø. Nyland
30 T. Pledl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.