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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Villarreal
T U S T T
3–1
Full-time
Betis
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 19. · Betis 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
7 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
8 Levante 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Girona 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Celta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 La Coruna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -4 0
19 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Betis
Jaume Costa 🟨
10′
11′
⚽ Sergio León 0–1
Joaquín
1–1 C. Bacca ⚽
32′
Álvaro González 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ Sergio León
2–1 Samu Castillejo ⚽
Pablo Fornals
61′
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
69′
74′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ Víctor Camarasa
3–1 E. Ünal ⚽
Álvaro González
77′
78′
🔁 Matías Nahuel
↦ Cristian Tello
Chuca 🔁
↦ Trigueros
84′
Rúben Semedo 🔁
↦ Rodri Hernández
87′
Antonio Rukavina 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
25 M. Barbosa G
22 A. Rukavina D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
3 Álvaro González D
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 C. Bacca F
17 C. Bakambu F
Bench (7)
15 E. Ünal
33 Chuca
4 Rúben Semedo
18 N. Sansone
31 Ander Cantero
30 Pau Torres
35 L. Suárez

Coach: Fran Escribá

Betis

4-3-3
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
5 Jordi Amat D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
3 Javi García M
29 J. Narváez M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
7 Sergio León F
20 Cristian Tello F
Bench (7)
9 A. Sanabria
18 A. Guardado
11 Matías Nahuel
6 Fabián Ruiz
2 Rafa Navarro
23 A. Mandi
1 Dani Giménez

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.