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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Sassuolo
S U T T U
3–0
Full-time
Cagliari
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Cagliari 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 20 18 2 0 +30 56
2 Napoli 20 15 2 3 +21 47
3 Inter 20 12 4 4 +17 40
4 Milan 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Roma 20 9 6 5 +11 33
6 Lazio 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Atalanta 20 9 4 7 +17 31
8 Sampdoria 20 8 6 6 +9 30
9 Parma 20 8 4 8 -5 28
10 Fiorentina 20 6 9 5 +7 27
11 Torino 20 6 9 5 +4 27
12 Sassuolo 20 6 8 6 -2 26
13 Cagliari 20 4 9 7 -8 21
14 Genoa 20 5 5 10 -12 20
15 Udinese 20 4 6 10 -8 18
16 Spal 20 4 6 10 -12 18
17 Empoli 20 4 5 11 -15 17
18 Bologna 20 2 8 10 -14 14
19 Chievo 20 1 8 11 -24 11
20 Frosinone 20 1 7 12 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Cagliari
1–0 M. Locatelli
9′
14′
🟨 Nicolò Barella
Federico Peluso 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Diego Farias
↦ C. Lykogiannis
2–0 K. Babacar
49′
64′
🔁 V. Birsa
↦ L. Cigarini
J. Boga 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
65′
A. Matri 🔁
↦ K. Babacar
70′
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ F. Magnanelli
75′
77′
🔁 S. Padoin
↦ D. Srna
3–0 A. Matri
A. Duncan
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
23 G. Magnani D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
4 F. Magnanelli M
68 M. Bourabia M
9 F. Đuričić M
73 M. Locatelli M
30 K. Babacar F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
20 J. Boga
10 A. Matri
32 A. Duncan
28 G. Satalino
34 F. Di Francesco
98 C. Adjapong
79 G. Pegolo
31 G. Ferrari
11 G. Scamacca
39 C. Dell'Orco
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
33 D. Srna D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
19 F. Pisacane D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
8 L. Cigarini M
21 A. Ioniţă M
10 João Pedro M
24 P. Faragò M
18 N. Barella M
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (10)
17 Diego Farias
14 V. Birsa
20 S. Padoin
39 N. Lella
37 F. Verde
27 A. Deiola
56 F. Romagna
2 M. Pajač
16 S. Aresti
1 Rafael

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.