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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Haugesund
S U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
35%
54%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Haugesund 11. · Lillestrom 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 26 21 3 2 +40 66
2 Bodo/Glimt 26 15 6 5 +38 51
3 Rosenborg 26 14 8 4 +24 50
4 Lillestrom 26 14 5 7 +15 47
5 Valerenga 27 13 3 11 +4 42
6 Odd 27 11 5 11 -8 38
7 Tromso 26 9 10 7 -4 37
8 Sarpsborg 08 26 11 2 13 +2 35
9 Viking 26 9 6 11 -2 33
10 Stromsgodset 27 9 6 12 -4 33
11 Haugesund 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Aalesund 26 8 8 10 -11 32
13 Ham-Kam 27 5 13 9 -8 28
14 Sandefjord 26 6 5 15 -23 23
15 Kristiansund 26 4 6 16 -22 18
16 Jerv 26 5 2 19 -37 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Lillestrom
28′
T. Olsen 0–1
Y. Ibrahimaj
Julius Eskesen 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
B. Njie 🔁
↦ M. Samuelsen
46′
60′
🟨 Igoh Ogbu
A. Søderlund 🔁
↦ J. Eskesen
62′
Bruno Leite 🔁
↦ M. Christensen
77′
89′
🔁 A. Adams
↦ T. Olsen
90′
🔁 P. Helland
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Haugesund

5-4-1
1 E. Selvik G
5 S. Reese D
23 T. Pedersen D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
27 M. Sande M
21 J. Eskesen M
6 M. Christensen M
8 K. Krygård D
7 P. Therkildsen D
10 C. Zafeiris M
14 M. Samuelsen F
Bench (8)
99 B. Njie
16 A. Søderlund
26 Bruno Leite
32 F. Stople
15 U. Fredriksen
3 N. Walstad
38 V. Solheim
17 H. Gong

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Lillestrom

3-5-2
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen M
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
10 T. Olsen F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (8)
9 A. Adams
7 P. Helland
21 H. Friðjónsson
33 H. Skogvold
58 A. Şimşir
27 I. Cisse
1 K. Skjærstein
3 C. Rösler

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.