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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Ajax

S S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Den Haag

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

4,0

0,8

Conceded

0,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 58%

85%

31%

Points per game

2,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 39%

15%

62%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

3,1

1,3

Conceded

0,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

72% Possession 28%

32 Shots 8

12 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

19 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Den Haag 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+10	26
4	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
5	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	5	4	5	+2	19
7	VVV Venlo	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-4	17
9	Vitesse	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	For Sittard	14	4	4	6	+0	16
11	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Excelsior	14	4	4	6	-12	16
13	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
14	Zwolle	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	FC Emmen	14	3	5	6	-13	14
16	Groningen	12	3	1	8	-8	10
17	De Graafschap	14	3	1	10	-21	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	3	2	+3	9
9	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
10	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
11	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
17	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
7	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
12	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.