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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Huddersfield
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
8%
56%
Points per game
0,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
76%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 20. · Arsenal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 26 20 2 4 +48 62
2 Liverpool 25 19 5 1 +41 62
3 Tottenham 25 19 0 6 +27 57
4 Man United 26 15 6 5 +17 51
5 Chelsea 25 15 5 5 +22 50
6 Arsenal 25 14 5 6 +15 47
7 Wolves 25 11 5 9 +1 38
8 Watford 25 9 7 9 -1 34
9 Everton 26 9 6 11 -2 33
10 Bournemouth 25 10 3 12 -7 33
11 Leicester 25 9 5 11 -1 32
12 West Ham 25 9 5 11 -7 32
13 Brighton 25 7 6 12 -9 27
14 Crystal Palace 25 7 5 13 -7 26
15 Newcastle 25 6 6 13 -12 24
16 Southampton 25 5 9 11 -15 24
17 Burnley 25 6 6 13 -20 24
18 Cardiff 25 6 4 15 -24 22
19 Fulham 26 4 5 17 -33 17
20 Huddersfield 25 2 5 18 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Arsenal
16′
A. Iwobi 0–1
S. Kolašinac
Christopher Schindler 🟨
36′
44′
A. Lacazette 0–2
A. Maitland-Niles
Half-time 0–2
Terence Kongolo 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 Ainsley Maitland-Niles
E. Durm 🔁
↦ T. Kongolo
56′
59′
🔁 Mohamed Elneny
↦ L. Torreira
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ J. Puncheon
66′
76′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
K. Ahearne-Grant 🔁
↦ E. Kachunga
83′
88′
🔁 J. Willock
↦ A. Iwobi
Adama Diakhaby 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Sead Kolašinac
1–2 K. Ahearne-Grant
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-3-1-2
12 B. Hamer G
25 M. Jørgensen D
26 C. Schindler D
5 T. Kongolo D
2 T. Smith D
42 J. Puncheon M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
7 J. Bacuna M
9 E. Kachunga F
11 A. Diakhaby F
Bench (7)
37 E. Durm
20 L. Depoitre
16 K. Ahearne-Grant
8 P. Billing
13 J. Coleman
21 A. Pritchard
27 J. Stankovič

Coach: J. Siewert

Arsenal

3-4-3
19 B. Leno G
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
20 S. Mustafi D
31 S. Kolašinac M
7 H. Mkhitaryan F
17 A. Iwobi F
15 A. Maitland-Niles M
11 L. Torreira M
29 M. Guendouzi M
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
4 Mohamed Elneny
22 Denis Suárez
59 J. Willock
1 P. Čech
12 S. Lichtsteiner
27 K. Mavropanos
49 E. Nketiah

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.