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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Liverpool
T S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Bournemouth
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
76%
40%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
68%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Bournemouth 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 26 20 2 4 +48 62
2 Liverpool 25 19 5 1 +41 62
3 Tottenham 25 19 0 6 +27 57
4 Man United 26 15 6 5 +17 51
5 Chelsea 25 15 5 5 +22 50
6 Arsenal 25 14 5 6 +15 47
7 Wolves 25 11 5 9 +1 38
8 Watford 25 9 7 9 -1 34
9 Everton 26 9 6 11 -2 33
10 Bournemouth 25 10 3 12 -7 33
11 Leicester 25 9 5 11 -1 32
12 West Ham 25 9 5 11 -7 32
13 Brighton 25 7 6 12 -9 27
14 Crystal Palace 25 7 5 13 -7 26
15 Newcastle 25 6 6 13 -12 24
16 Southampton 25 5 9 11 -15 24
17 Burnley 25 6 6 13 -20 24
18 Cardiff 25 6 4 15 -24 22
19 Fulham 26 4 5 17 -33 17
20 Huddersfield 25 2 5 18 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Bournemouth
1–0 S. Mané
J. Milner
24′
25′
🟨 Diego Rico
2–0 G. Wijnaldum
A. Robertson
34′
38′
🟨 Adam Smith
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Mohamed Salah
Roberto Firmino
48′
59′
🔁 D. Solanke
↦ J. Ibe
Joël Matip 🟨
61′
73′
🔁 L. Mousset
↦ J. Lerma
T. Alexander-Arnold 🔁
↦ G. Wijnaldum
77′
80′
🔁 C. Mepham
↦ Diego Rico
Andrew Robertson 🟨
87′
D. Origi 🔁
↦ S. Mané
87′
D. Sturridge 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
13 Alisson G
32 J. Matip D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
7 J. Milner D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
3 Fabinho M
8 N. Keïta M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
10 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
66 T. Alexander-Arnold
27 D. Origi
15 D. Sturridge
14 J. Henderson
20 A. Lallana
22 S. Mignolet
64 Rafael Camacho

Coach: J. Klopp

Bournemouth

4-5-1
1 A. Boruc G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
21 Diego Rico D
6 A. Surman M
4 D. Gosling M
24 R. Fraser M
10 J. Ibe M
8 J. Lerma M
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
29 D. Solanke
9 L. Mousset
33 C. Mepham
25 J. Simpson
27 A. Begović
28 K. Taylor
44 S. Surridge

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.