Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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RB Leipzig
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | +31 | 49 |
| 2 |
M'gladbach
|
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 42 |
| 3 |
Bayern Munich
|
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | +21 | 42 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +20 | 37 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +5 | 33 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 32 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 29 |
| 9 |
Hertha
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 28 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 27 |
| 11 |
Mainz
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 |
Schalke 04
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -27 | 15 |
| 17 |
Nurnberg
|
20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -27 | 12 |
| 18 |
Hannover
|
20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -26 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Gulácsi
G
W. Orban
D
L. Klostermann
D
N. Mukiele
D
M. Sabitzer
M
K. Laimer
D
Y. Poulsen
F
Coach: R. Rangnick
K. Trapp
G
D. da Costa
M
O. N'Dicka
D
F. Kostić
M
L. Jović
F
Coach: A. Hütter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hannover
RB Leipzig
Fortuna Dusseldorf
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.