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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Heerenveen
T T U U T
1–0
Full-time
Zwolle
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 13. · Zwolle 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Nijmegen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Ajax 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Heracles 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Willem II 4 1 1 2 -4 4
11 Roda 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Twente 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 Groningen 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Zwolle
40′
🟨 Kingsley Ehizibue
Half-time 0–0
S. Larsson 🔁
↦ L. Slagveer
46′
1–0 S. Larsson
50′
Stijn Schaars 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 A. Achahbar
↦ H. Mastour
61′
🔁 M. de Boom
↦ K. Ehizibue
70′
🔁 C. Verdonk
↦ B. Schenkeveld
80′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
C. Cavlan 🔁
↦ S. Marzo
86′
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Marzo D
5 L. Bijker D
4 J. van Aken D
16 J. St. Juste D
6 S. Schaars M
18 Y. Namli F
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 L. Slagveer F
13 A. Zeneli F
19 P. van Amersfoort M
Bench (10)
11 S. Larsson
22 C. Cavlan
20 H. Veerman
25 W. Huizing
33 W. van der Steen
21 Y. Kobayashi
30 W. Sietsma
37 M. Vlap
8 M. Thorsby
10 S. Thern

Coach: J. Streppel

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
14 W. Brama M
18 Gustavo Hebling
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
98 H. Mastour M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
9 A. Achahbar
46 M. de Boom
5 C. Verdonk
33 A. Karagounis
16 K. Begois
13 P. Sandler
8 W. Marinus
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.