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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Boavista
T S U S S
0–2
Full-time
Benfica
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 4. · Benfica 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Chaves 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nacional 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Portimonense 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Benfica
35′
F. Ferreyra 0–1
Fábio Espinho 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Gedson Fernandes
Rafael Costa 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
53′
Mateus 🟨
58′
62′
Pizzi 0–2
E. Salvio
André Claro 🔁
↦ Mateus
64′
Rafael Lopes 🔁
↦ I. Mandiang
70′
Talocha 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 A. Živković
↦ E. Salvio
Rafael Costa 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 Alfa Semedo
↦ Gedson Fernandes
88′
🔁 João Félix
↦ F. Cervi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
3 Raphael Silva D
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
8 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
42 I. Mandiang M
17 Carraça D
7 Rochinha M
9 Mateus M
28 F. Falcone F
Bench (7)
23 Rafael Costa
18 André Claro
33 Rafael Lopes
1 Rafael Bracalli
20 Edu Machado
22 S. Sparagna
88 Samú

Coach: Jorge Simão

Benfica

4-3-3
99 O. Vlachodimos G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
6 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
18 E. Salvio F
11 F. Cervi F
83 Gedson Fernandes M
19 F. Ferreyra F
Bench (7)
17 A. Živković
16 Alfa Semedo
79 João Félix
1 M. Svilar
2 G. Conti
14 H. Seferović
27 Rafa Silva

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.