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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Molde
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Rosenborg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 68%
81%
54%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
77%
Both score Ø 60%
54%
65%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 1. · Rosenborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 26 21 3 2 +40 66
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 16 6 5 +43 54
3 Rosenborg 26 14 8 4 +24 50
4 Lillestrom 27 15 5 7 +16 50
5 Valerenga 27 13 3 11 +4 42
6 Tromso 27 9 11 7 -4 38
7 Odd 27 11 5 11 -8 38
8 Sarpsborg 08 27 11 3 13 +2 36
9 Aalesund 27 9 8 10 -10 35
10 Viking 27 9 7 11 -2 34
11 Stromsgodset 27 9 6 12 -4 33
12 Haugesund 27 9 6 12 -5 33
13 Ham-Kam 27 5 13 9 -8 28
14 Sandefjord 27 6 5 16 -24 23
15 Kristiansund 27 4 6 17 -27 18
16 Jerv 27 5 3 19 -37 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Rosenborg
Emil Breivik 🟨
8′
1–0 O. Brynhildsen
E. Breivik
9′
19′
🟨 Markus Henriksen
33′
🟨 Leo Cornic
Half-time 1–0
B. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Bjørnbak
61′
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
61′
61′
🔁 S. Vecchia
↦ K. Ingason
2–0 D. Fofana
64′
M. Eikrem 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
74′
74′
🔁 M. Broholm
↦ P. Skjelbred
77′
L. Cornic 2–1
E. Hussain 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
83′
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ M. Løvik
83′
Jakob Karlstrom 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
2 M. Bjørnbak D
19 E. Haugan D
3 B. Risa D
31 M. Løvik M
20 K. Eriksen M
15 M. Kaasa M
11 O. Brynhildsen F
25 E. Breivik M
8 S. Mannsverk M
9 D. Fofana F
Bench (8)
4 B. Hansen
14 E. Knudtzon
7 M. Eikrem
16 E. Hussain
22 M. Grødem
24 J. Bakke
26 O. Petersen
33 N. Ødegård

Coach: E. Moe

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan D
15 S. Rogers D
32 L. Cornic M
5 P. Skjelbred M
7 M. Henriksen D
8 T. Børkeeiet M
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse M
17 C. Tengstedt F
80 K. Ingason F
Bench (7)
22 S. Vecchia
39 M. Broholm
19 A. Pereira
16 H. Røsten
24 S. Tangvik
21 O. Skarsem
18 R. Giampaoli

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.