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Eliteserien

Referee: M Lien

Stromsgodset

T T T T U

3–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 32%

28%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

44%

71%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,92 xG 2,41

45% Possession 55%

25 Shots 16

12 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

11 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Lillestrom 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	12	5	2	+25	+13.9	41
2	Viking	18	9	6	3	+10	+6.6	33
3	Brann	18	9	6	3	+6	+10.6	33
4	Molde	18	9	4	5	+13	+11.9	31
5	Fredrikstad	18	8	7	3	+9	+3.3	31
6	KFUM Oslo	18	6	8	4	+1	+5.4	26
7	Sarpsborg 08	18	6	4	8	-7	-3.9	22
8	Ham-Kam	18	5	6	7	+1	-2.8	21
9	Kristiansund	17	5	6	6	-2	-8.0	21
10	Rosenborg	17	6	3	8	-7	-2.7	21
11	Stromsgodset	18	5	5	8	-7	-3.2	20
12	Lillestrom	17	6	2	9	-8	-4.0	20
13	Tromso	18	5	3	10	-7	-9.0	18
14	Odd	18	4	6	8	-12	-10.4	18
15	Sandefjord	18	4	5	9	-5	-0.8	17
16	Haugesund	18	5	2	11	-10	-7.1	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	10	6	3	1	+7	+3.1	21
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Rosenborg	8	5	1	2	+2	+2.3	16
5	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
6	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
7	Fredrikstad	9	3	5	1	+3	+4.0	14
8	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	+1	+1.3	13
9	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
10	Odd	10	2	4	4	-5	-2.7	10
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	-7	+0.3	10
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.0	9
13	Haugesund	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
14	KFUM Oslo	9	1	5	3	-5	+6.5	8
15	Lillestrom	9	2	2	5	-9	-4.5	8
16	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	2	2	+11	+6.8	20
2	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
3	Molde	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.9	17
4	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
5	Brann	9	4	4	1	+2	+0.7	16
6	Ham-Kam	10	4	3	3	+4	-0.1	15
7	Viking	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.5	12
8	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+1	+0.5	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	3	3	+0	-4.2	12
10	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-7	-5.2	11
11	Haugesund	9	2	2	5	-5	-6.2	8
12	Tromso	8	2	2	4	-5	-8.3	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.0	5
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.