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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

U S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Paderborn

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

14 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 2. · Paderborn 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Dresden	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Nurnberg	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Paderborn	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	St Pauli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Schalke 04	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Hamburg	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Heidenheim	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Hansa Rostock	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Sandhausen	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Holstein Kiel	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Ingolstadt	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Hannover	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	3	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Dresden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Heidenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Hannover	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Holstein Kiel	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Hamburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Ingolstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Hansa Rostock	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Dresden	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Ingolstadt	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.