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2. Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Darmstadt
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Hamburg
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
43%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 1. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 21 14 6 1 +20 48
2 Hamburg 21 14 2 5 +15 44
3 Heidenheim 21 11 7 3 +18 40
4 Paderborn 22 12 3 7 +19 39
5 Kaiserslautern 22 10 8 4 +9 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 +7 35
7 Holstein Kiel 22 8 8 6 +2 32
8 St Pauli 21 7 8 6 +3 29
9 Hannover 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Greuther Furth 22 6 8 8 -6 26
12 Nurnberg 22 7 4 11 -14 25
13 Hansa Rostock 21 7 3 11 -10 24
14 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -12 21
15 Magdeburg 21 6 3 12 -14 21
16 Bielefeld 21 6 2 13 -6 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 22 5 4 13 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Hamburg
4′
R. Königsdörffer 0–1
M. Heyer
25′
🟨 Moritz Heyer
Half-time 0–1
Marcel Schuhen 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Ludovit Reis
63′
🔁 B. Jatta
↦ R. Königsdörffer
65′
🟨 Miro Muheim
F. Stojilković 🔁
↦ F. Schnellhardt
66′
K. Bennetts 🔁
↦ F. Ronstadt
66′
79′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ L. Bénes
79′
🔁 N. Katterbach
↦ M. Heyer
1–1 F. Stojilković
M. Mehlem
81′
83′
🟨 Sebastian Schonlau
M. Warming 🔁
↦ M. Honsak
86′
91′
🟨 Bakery Jatta
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
4 C. Zimmermann D
3 T. Isherwood D
19 E. Karic M
8 F. Schnellhardt M
32 F. Holland M
17 F. Ronstadt M
6 M. Mehlem F
9 P. Tietz F
18 M. Honsak F
Bench (9)
40 F. Stojilković
16 K. Bennetts
14 M. Warming
26 M. Bader
42 F. Torsiello
28 Y. Ben Balla
30 A. Brunst
29 O. Vilhelmsson
23 K. Gjasula

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
18 B. Jatta
20 A. Németh
33 N. Katterbach
2 W. Mikelbrencis
19 M. Raab
7 F. Bilbija
10 S. Kittel
47 N. Kisilowski
16 Javi Montero

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,66
U ✓
3,56
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.