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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Osnabruck
S T T U T
2–3
Full-time
Nurnberg
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 11
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 12
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 14. · Nurnberg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Wehen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Hansa Rostock 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hannover 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 St Pauli 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Greuther Furth 3 1 1 1 +4 4
8 Magdeburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Karlsruhe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 -4 4
12 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Osnabruck 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Elversberg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Braunschweig 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Hertha 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osnabruck Nurnberg
20′
🔁 J. Horn
↦ J. Lawrence
28′
🟨 Nathaniel Brown
35′
C. Uzun 0–1
Half-time 0–1
L. Kehl 🔁
↦ L. Kunze
46′
D. Gnaase 🔁
↦ R. Tesche
46′
C. Conteh 🔁
↦ N. Niemann
46′
46′
🔁 B. Goller
↦ C. Uzun
58′
🔁 J. Castrop
↦ T. Duman
K. Okyere Wriedt 🔁
↦ E. Engelhardt
62′
63′
ℹ️ Kanji Okunuki
VAR: Goal cancelled
Bashkim Ajdini 🟨
64′
70′
L. Schleimer 0–2
D. Hayashi
J. Verhoek 🔁
↦ M. Thalhammer
72′
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 🟨
74′
80′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ K. Okunuki
80′
🔁 E. Valentini
↦ J. Gyamerah
84′
B. Goller 0–3
J. Horn
1–3 C. Conteh
J. Verhoek
86′
2–3 C. Conteh
88′
91′
🟨 Christian Mathenia
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Osnabruck

4-3-3
1 L. Grill G
5 B. Ajdini D
4 M. Gyamfi D
25 N. Wiemann D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
13 L. Kunze M
6 M. Thalhammer M
8 R. Tesche M
7 N. Niemann F
9 E. Engelhardt F
11 C. Makridis F
Bench (9)
18 L. Kehl
26 D. Gnaase
17 C. Conteh
10 K. Okyere Wriedt
23 J. Verhoek
14 O. Diakhité
16 H. Rorig
22 P. Kühn
28 F. Bähr

Coach: T. Schweinsteiger

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
3 A. Gürleyen D
4 J. Lawrence D
27 N. Brown D
8 T. Duman M
41 A. Loune M
42 C. Uzun M
36 L. Schleimer F
9 D. Hayashi F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
38 J. Horn
14 B. Goller
17 J. Castrop
5 J. Geis
22 E. Valentini
33 C. Daferner
1 C. Klaus
29 T. Handwerker
19 F. Hübner

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,42
B ✓
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.