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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Zwayer
Rot-Weiß Essen
3–4
Full-time
Hamburg
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
18 Shots 25
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
25 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
26 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
27 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
28 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
29 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
30 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rot-Weiß Essen Hamburg
37′
⚽ B. Jatta 0–1
40′
🟨 Elijah Akwasi Krahn
1–1 T. Müsel ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–2
54′
⚽ B. Jatta 1–2
2–2 M. Doumbouya ⚽
A. Wiegel
56′
59′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ E. Krahn
L. Vonić 🔁
↦ M. Obuz
66′
66′
⚽ R. Glatzel 2–3
72′
🟨 Ignace Van der Brempt
T. Eisfeld 🔁
↦ T. Müsel
80′
R. Berlinski 🔁
↦ J. Ríos Alonso
80′
81′
🔁 M. Heyer
↦ J. Dompé
3–3 L. Brumme ⚽
T. Eisfeld
83′
90′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ L. Öztunalı
90′
🔁 S. Ambrosius
↦ D. Hadžikadunić
98′
🟨 Guilherme Ramos
E. Voufack 🔁
↦ A. Wiegel
105′
106′
🟨 Stephan Ambrosius
Y. Friessner Montas 🔁
↦ M. Doumbouya
114′
117′
⚽ L. Bénes 3–4
A. Németh
122′
🟨 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Rot-Weiß Essen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Golz G
24 F. Götze D
4 F. Bastians D
23 J. Ríos Alonso D
7 A. Wiegel M
26 T. Müsel M
27 V. Šapina M
14 L. Brumme M
30 I. Young F
11 M. Obuz F
29 M. Doumbouya F
Bench (9)
20 L. Vonić
10 T. Eisfeld
9 R. Berlinski
19 E. Voufack
32 Y. Friessner Montas
35 F. Wienand
16 M. Kourouma
6 B. Rother
2 S. Voelcke

Coach: C. Dabrowski

Hamburg

4-3-3
19 M. Raab G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
28 M. Muheim D
21 L. Öztunalı M
46 E. Krahn M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (8)
20 A. Németh
3 M. Heyer
11 R. Königsdörffer
35 S. Ambrosius
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
47 N. Oliveira
41 Omar Megeed
34 J. David

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.