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2. Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

St Pauli

S T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Hertha

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 46%

54%

38%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

54%

79%

Both score Ø 69%

67%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Hertha 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	24	13	9	2	+19	48
2	Holstein Kiel	25	14	4	7	+13	46
3	Hamburg	25	12	5	8	+10	41
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	11	7	7	+18	40
5	Hannover	25	10	9	6	+12	39
6	Paderborn	25	11	6	8	-2	39
7	Greuther Furth	24	11	5	8	+3	38
8	Nurnberg	25	10	6	9	-8	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	9	8	8	+7	35
10	Hertha	24	9	7	8	+6	34
11	Elversberg	24	9	5	10	-5	32
12	Magdeburg	25	8	7	10	+4	31
13	Wehen	25	8	7	10	-1	31
14	Schalke 04	25	9	3	13	-9	30
15	Kaiserslautern	24	7	4	13	-10	25
16	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-18	25
17	Braunschweig	25	7	3	15	-15	24
18	Osnabruck	24	3	9	12	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Greuther Furth	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	0	4	+10	24
5	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+7	23
7	Holstein Kiel	13	7	1	5	+3	22
8	Magdeburg	13	6	3	4	+7	21
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Hertha	12	5	4	3	+12	19
11	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Paderborn	12	5	3	4	+0	18
13	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	-2	18
14	Wehen	12	4	5	3	+0	17
15	Elversberg	12	5	2	5	-2	17
16	Kaiserslautern	12	5	1	6	-2	16
17	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Osnabruck	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	St Pauli	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Paderborn	13	6	3	4	-2	21
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	4	3	+13	19
5	Hamburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
6	Nurnberg	13	5	2	6	-8	17
7	Elversberg	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Hertha	12	4	3	5	-6	15
9	Wehen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
10	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-4	14
11	Karlsruhe	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Hansa Rostock	13	3	2	8	-12	11
14	Magdeburg	12	2	4	6	-3	10
15	Kaiserslautern	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Osnabruck	12	1	4	7	-19	7
18	Braunschweig	12	2	0	10	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.