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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

Elversberg

T S T T U

2–2

Full-time

FC Koln

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 23

3 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 10

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 13

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 11. · FC Koln 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Elversberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Ulm	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Elversberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.